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Post by Lord Death Man on Nov 28, 2018 2:26:34 GMT
It's time. Get your final predictions in here.
RT: 97% Opening Weekend: 100 M+ Final Gross: $1.3 B Weeks at number 1: 6 Aknowledgemets: Winner - Oscar for VFX 2020
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Post by Skaathar on Nov 28, 2018 2:32:40 GMT
RT: 80% OW: $120m Final BO: $800m
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Post by politicidal on Nov 28, 2018 3:36:54 GMT
RT: 79%
OW: $150M
TOTAL WW: $750M
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Post by scabab on Nov 28, 2018 7:15:25 GMT
Rotten Tomatoes - 72%
Domestic - $270 million Worldwide - $800 million
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Post by damngumby on Nov 28, 2018 13:08:02 GMT
RT score: 58% Opening weekend: 90 million US: 210 million Worldwide: 790 million (monster hit in China) Weeks at #1: 0 Nominated for: A number of 2nd tier awards.
Overwrought and goofy. Critics who give it a positive spin call it a great “popcorn” movie. Other say it tries too hard to be a MCU movie but fails to find the right balance. The phrase, “throws everything but the kitchen sink at the screen” will appear in multiple reviews.
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Post by lenlenlen1 on Nov 28, 2018 15:30:50 GMT
It's time. Get your final predictions in here. RT: 97% Opening Weekend: 100 M+ Final Gross: $1.3 B Weeks at number 1: 6 Aknowledgemets: Winner - Oscar for VFX 2020 Lord Death Man, I love ya, but I'll be a little more realistic...
RT: 80% Opening Weekend: 100 M+ Final Gross: $900,000,000 Weeks at number 1: 2 Acknowledgemets: NA
Ya'lls are probably gonna think I'm crazy. But I have a suspicion that Mary Poppins will be a hit and give it real competition. Family audiences and nostalgia could be huge for it.
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Post by Skaathar on Nov 28, 2018 15:40:36 GMT
It's time. Get your final predictions in here. RT: 97% Opening Weekend: 100 M+ Final Gross: $1.3 B Weeks at number 1: 6 Aknowledgemets: Winner - Oscar for VFX 2020 Lord Death Man, I love ya, but I'll be a little more realistic...
RT: 80% Opening Weekend: 100 M+ Final Gross: $900,000,000 Weeks at number 1: 2 Acknowledgemets: NA
Ya'lls are probably gonna think I'm crazy. But I have a suspicion that Mary Poppins will be a hit and give it real competition. Family audiences and nostalgia could be huge for it.
Bit similar to my predictions.
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Post by lenlenlen1 on Nov 28, 2018 15:49:59 GMT
Lord Death Man, I love ya, but I'll be a little more realistic...
RT: 80% Opening Weekend: 100 M+ Final Gross: $900,000,000 Weeks at number 1: 2 Acknowledgemets: NA
Ya'lls are probably gonna think I'm crazy. But I have a suspicion that Mary Poppins will be a hit and give it real competition. Family audiences and nostalgia could be huge for it.
Bit similar to my predictions. Yes, But with a little more margin for error.
Unfortunately, it all depends on that almighty RT score. With word of mouth on DCEU movies already being bad, this one needs a pretty good score to overcome that pre-assumed negativity.
Personally I could give 2 craplets about RT score, but it does hold sway over many a folk. But only for moves then already want to see. When Ladybird had a higher RT score then Thor Ragnarok no one ran out in droves to see that!
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havenless
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Post by havenless on Nov 28, 2018 16:48:13 GMT
I want to come back to this when it’s out, a lot of your predictions are crazy. Wonder Woman couldn’t make 900m, MoS didn’t make 700m, but Aquaman will hit 900? That’s a crazy number. The ONLY solo superhero movie to ever make that much is Black Panther, and for reasons beyond Aquaman’s control. He’s not outgrossing Wonder Woman, Spider-Man, Iron Man, Superman et al. It may look like Avatar, but so do a lot of trailers made by directors who aren’t James Cameron.
RT: 76%. Blame anti-DC bias, but film reviewers are critical. That’s why their called critics. Things that aren’t important to you will be deal breakers to them, such as, “How transcendant is Amber Heard’s performance?” How can they make this not the same ole same ole superhero origin movie. You KNOW there will be reviewers complaining they’ve seen this movie 5 times now, aside from the underwater sequences. Protagonist from an eccentric world needs to find his inner altruism before his evil brother destroys the world, but this time it’s not Thor or it’s not Black Panther or it’s not Wonder Woman. Selling a CGI-heavy movie to a critical audience that doesn’t really care about the CGI has always been tough. But regardless, I think it’ll end up fresh for the strong narrative, concise storytelling, and proper flow. Things MoS and WW had, but JL and BvS didn’t.
Opening Weekend: Justice League made this really, really tough. How can a movie so sought after make so little opening weekend? Is the DC brand in that bad of shape, or was it the specific people involved that aren’t with this, like Affleck, like Snyder? Gal couldn’t save it. Even if people hated the movie it’d at least have a pretty good first night number... I think Aquaman could be anywhere from 70-130. It does have crazy competition because apparently that animated Spider-Man reboot/racebaiting apology/whatever movie is pretty f’ing Fantastic. Mary Poppins has a built in audience, it’ll make bank, and Bumblebee will get the guaranteed cgi-fest money Aquaman is also looking for. Guardians of the Galaxy, Winter Soldier, Iron Man all made under 100m$ opening weekend, despite being 3 of Marvel’s best movies. Why? No one cared about Iron Man before it came out. Yeah Cap was in Avengers, but at that time he was the least popular one. GotG? What the hell is that even? Aquaman does not have a big wave of momentum. He’s not popular on any level, and JL was a setback for his solo aspirations, plain and simple (despite him being arguably the best part).
But here’s the biggy: Mortal Engines is yet another CGI-heavy movie, but this time with Peter Jackson’s name on it. There’s some guaranteed BO money, even if it’s weaker than the other movies we’ve mentioned. That comes out same weekend as Spider-Man (who is sitting at 100% RT btw). 4 days later Mary Poppins comes out. 2 days later Aquaman comes out SAME WEEKEND as Bumblebee. That is the worst 1-week stretch I’ve ever seen for releasing a big budget movie. 5 in 6 days. If Aquaman makes 100 million, it should have made 125 with a normal release date. If it makes 125, should have made 150. And that’s why it won’t make any of those. 83m$. A good number, it should have legs to bring it beyond JL’s final total...
Total WW run: 721m$. Ho-hum in the states, but it’ll be huge internationally.
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Post by Lord Death Man on Nov 28, 2018 17:58:50 GMT
It's time. Get your final predictions in here. RT: 97% Opening Weekend: 100 M+ Final Gross: $1.3 B Weeks at number 1: 6 Aknowledgemets: Winner - Oscar for VFX 2020 Lord Death Man, I love ya, but I'll be a little more realistic...
RT: 80% Opening Weekend: 100 M+ Final Gross: $900,000,000 Weeks at number 1: 2 Acknowledgemets: NA
Ya'lls are probably gonna think I'm crazy. But I have a suspicion that Mary Poppins will be a hit and give it real competition. Family audiences and nostalgia could be huge for it.
I think it's going to overperform. I really do.
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Post by kuatorises on Nov 28, 2018 18:22:18 GMT
It's time. Get your final predictions in here. RT: 97% Opening Weekend: 100 M+ Final Gross: $1.3 B Weeks at number 1: 6 Aknowledgemets: Winner - Oscar for VFX 2020 Did you get hacked?!
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Post by justanaveragejoe on Nov 28, 2018 20:17:52 GMT
RT: 83% OW: $80 million WW: $800 million Weeks at #1: 2, then Mary Poppins takes over.
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Post by taylorfirst1 on Nov 28, 2018 20:34:17 GMT
It will be a movie. Many people will go to the theater to see it. Some critics will like it and others will not. It will be a box office success. I will see it in theater and I will enjoy it but not as much as i enjoy most MCU movies.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 28, 2018 21:00:50 GMT
I'm not good with RT or box office predictions, but I really do think it will be the best DC movie since TDK and about as good if not a little better than mid to upper tier MCU movies like Thor and Doctor Strange.
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Post by politicidal on Nov 28, 2018 22:46:59 GMT
It's time. Get your final predictions in here. RT: 97% Opening Weekend: 100 M+ Final Gross: $1.3 B Weeks at number 1: 6 Aknowledgemets: Winner - Oscar for VFX 2020Did you get hacked?! There's a ghost in his machine!
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dnno1
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Post by dnno1 on Nov 28, 2018 23:15:42 GMT
RT: 90% (for the first weekend), 70% (sometime after week 2). OW: $120 million (not counting the December 15th screening to Amazon Prime subscribers) WW: $925 million (this film will make most of its money overseas) Weeks at #1: 2 Acknowledgements: Nominations for: Best Cinematography, Best Unique Artistic Production, And Best Visual Effects
The December 15th screenings to Amazon Prime members I predict will make and additional $3 million. I base that number on the hunch that .3% of Amazon Prime's 100 million subscribers would have taken advantage of the offer for the early screening and, at about $8.97 a head... well, you do the math. The marketing folks will leverage those numbers (from overseas and early screenings) to hype the film come December 21. This will help boost revenue for the official domestic opening weekend and take it past Wonder Woman's numbers. Don't be surprised if a headline reads that Aquaman would have made over $270 million world wide by Christmas eve since it would have been making money overseas since the second week of December. It will be a successful strategy, but I am still doubtful that it will make a billion dollars since it will only be in theaters for 12 weeks, and then on to other revenue streams where the profit margins are higher.
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Post by primeone on Dec 7, 2018 11:30:25 GMT
Its already getting positive reactions in China and making big money. Same will most likely happen in the UK. It can potentially make over $200 before the U.S release. With that being said:
OW: $150 million DOM: $380 million Final BO: $850 million
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 9, 2018 10:39:49 GMT
RT: 73%
Opening Weekend: $90 Mill
Domestic: $250 Mill
Worldwide: $690 Mill
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havenless
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@havenless
Posts: 715
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Post by havenless on Dec 28, 2018 15:13:08 GMT
Oh man, looks like I’m neck and neck on the leader board. Only about 20 million off OW, 12% off RT score. With 60m$ opening weekend, it’s domestic total isn’t going to be very impressive, so it really comes down to whether it runs roughshod in China weeks 4, 5, 6. I went 720 total BO, looks like only one other person went under 800m. We should have a pretty clear picture by Monday.
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Post by thisguy4000 on Dec 28, 2018 17:46:15 GMT
Oh man, looks like I’m neck and neck on the leader board. Only about 20 million off OW, 12% off RT score. With 60m$ opening weekend, it’s domestic total isn’t going to be very impressive, so it really comes down to whether it runs roughshod in China weeks 4, 5, 6. I went 720 total BO, looks like only one other person went under 800m. We should have a pretty clear picture by Monday. Its domestic total is going to beat out JL. Also, its opening was $67 million.
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