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Post by scabab on Dec 17, 2017 16:45:47 GMT
Official estimates are - $220.04 million domestically - $230 million overseas - $450 million worldwide.  |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 17, 2017 22:19:02 GMT
You wont have the geeks like me c this turd 50 times. Same here. I saw TFA four times at the theater. I won't ever watch TLJ again. Even in four years when TNT is running marathons, I'll turn my damn tv off before I watch this POS again. |
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Post by scabab on Dec 19, 2017 16:30:15 GMT
Made $21.8 million on Monday in US.
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Post by scabab on Dec 21, 2017 11:12:30 GMT
It's at $537 million worldwide already.
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Post by DSDSquared on Dec 21, 2017 12:24:20 GMT
You wont have the geeks like me c this turd 50 times. Same here. I saw TFA four times at the theater. I won't ever watch TLJ again. Even in four years when TNT is running marathons, I'll turn my damn tv off before I watch this POS again. Jesus you haters are ridiculous. You saw TFA four times and will never see this far superior film again? Hilarious. |
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Post by Hauntedknight87 on Dec 21, 2017 12:44:27 GMT
So will this film reach 2 billion WW?
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Post by mcufan on Dec 21, 2017 13:49:10 GMT
So will this film reach 2 billion WW? Doubtful... |
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Post by kevin on Dec 21, 2017 14:17:26 GMT
I looked at a list of recent big blockbusters and their box office numbers for the first five days in the US (Friday - Tuesday).
Then I compared the 5 days total & the total box office with each other. The total box office is usually 2 - 3 times as big as the first 5 days.
So far the drops in between the days is very similar to Rogue One's performance who had a factor of 2.79. Based on that TLJ's final US box office
will be 731 million (3rd biggest ever). However, TLJ's drops on Monday and Tuesday were a bit bigger than Rogue One's and incorporating that I get an estimate of
692 million US box office (also 3rd biggest ever). One of the only blockbusters ever with a total gross/5 day factor of less than 2 is The Deathly Hallows - Part 2 with a factor
of 1.88. If it behaves similar to that movie using a trend line I get a box office of 511 million (7th biggest ever) for TLJ. This is basically the worst case scenario. If it behaves as good as TFA (an impressive factor of 2.87) I get a total box office of 752 million (3rd biggest ever). So I think a box office of at least 511 million and a maximum of 752 million is very realistic.
Using the factor of The Force Awakens of 1.208 of foreign/domestic gross I get a foreign estimate for TLJ of 608 - 908 million giving the movie a total box office of
1.11 - 1.66 billion dollars. I think a Rogue One case is the most realistic so then it would gross 1.527 - 1.614 billion. So right now I'd predict a total worldwide gross of 1.527 - 1.614 billion which would be the fifth highest-grossing movie of all-time worldwide with a serious possibility of 1.671 billion and therefore surpassing Jurassic World worldwide.
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Post by kevin on Dec 21, 2017 14:22:40 GMT
So will this film reach 2 billion WW? I just sent a more detailed post in this thread about this, but realistically 'no'. However I'm convinced that it will reach at least 1.5 billion. |
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Post by Jedan Archer on Dec 21, 2017 14:30:24 GMT
So will this film reach 2 billion WW? I just sent a more detailed post in this thread about this, but realistically 'no'. However I'm convinced that it will reach at least 1.5 billion. I think it will reach 1.5. The interesting thing to me is the whether the ongoing fanbase backlash will seriously affect the numbers and keep TLJ between 1b to 1.5b. It's been brutal on the big sites, like 95% negative reviews on RT, MC, IMDb or even Reddit/Twitter.
And: Will Disney flex it's muscels (there is already some backfireing) and "force" the sites to change the MO of user reviews, they won't have their cashcow's blue milk soured.
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Post by mcufan on Dec 21, 2017 16:14:38 GMT
I just sent a more detailed post in this thread about this, but realistically 'no'. However I'm convinced that it will reach at least 1.5 billion. I think it will reach 1.5. The interesting thing to me is the whether the ongoing fanbase backlash will seriously affect the numbers and keep TLJ between 1b to 1.5b. It's been brutal on the big sites, like 95% negative reviews on RT, MC, IMDb or even Reddit/Twitter.
And: Will Disney flex it's muscels (there is already some backfireing) and "force" the sites to change the MO of user reviews, they won't have their cashcow's blue milk soured.
how come there are 95% negative reviews if the average is around 50%? (negative being 3.5 stars or less) EDIT: Are you talking written revies? that I can see, the naysayers are always the more vocal |
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Post by Jedan Archer on Dec 21, 2017 16:36:04 GMT
I think it will reach 1.5. The interesting thing to me is the whether the ongoing fanbase backlash will seriously affect the numbers and keep TLJ between 1b to 1.5b. It's been brutal on the big sites, like 95% negative reviews on RT, MC, IMDb or even Reddit/Twitter.
And: Will Disney flex it's muscels (there is already some backfireing) and "force" the sites to change the MO of user reviews, they won't have their cashcow's blue milk soured.
how come there are 95% negative reviews if the average is around 50%? (negative being 3.5 stars or less) EDIT: Are you talking written revies? that I can see, the naysayers are always the more vocal Written reviews obviously, a biblical flood of them. 95% was a conservative estimate going by MC, ImDb or RT. |
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Post by mcufan on Dec 21, 2017 16:41:32 GMT
how come there are 95% negative reviews if the average is around 50%? (negative being 3.5 stars or less) EDIT: Are you talking written revies? that I can see, the naysayers are always the more vocal Written reviews obviously, a biblical flood of them. 95% was a conservative estimate going by MC, ImDb or RT. Yes, going by written in RT I really can't tell, but metacritic lists the number of bad and good and mixed (you can't just vote you have to write something) in MC as of now: 1663 Positive 563 mixed 1903 negative Is tending to the negative but it's not 95% more like 52% or something. On MC where you can't just leave a score and go on. |
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Post by DSDSquared on Dec 21, 2017 16:59:44 GMT
I guess, in the end, I enjoyed the movie. That is all I care about. I thought that it is easily in the top 4 Star Wars movies. I was very impressed with Driver as Kylo and loved the space battles. The final battle was also masterfully done, from a visual standpoint. I had a lot of fun here. While I love Rogue One and it may even be the better film, I found The Last Jedi to be more entertaining, which is really all that matters when I pay $20 to go see a movie in IMAX 3D.
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Post by Jedan Archer on Dec 21, 2017 17:35:27 GMT
Written reviews obviously, a biblical flood of them. 95% was a conservative estimate going by MC, ImDb or RT. Yes, going by written in RT I really can't tell, but metacritic lists the number of bad and good and mixed (you can't just vote you have to write something) in MC as of now: 1663 Positive 563 mixed 1903 negative Is tending to the negative but it's not 95% more like 52% or something. On MC where you can't just leave a score and go on. Numbers don't lie, guess it's spread like that on the other forums too. It's probably the filters that make it appear all negative when you scroll through the actual reviews, especially on IMDb. |
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Post by politicidal on Dec 22, 2017 16:16:34 GMT
So will this film reach 2 billion WW? I just sent a more detailed post in this thread about this, but realistically 'no'. However I'm convinced that it will reach at least 1.5 billion. Time to reboot. |
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Post by scabab on Dec 22, 2017 19:54:09 GMT
It's now at $610 million going into its second weekend.
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Post by darkpast on Dec 22, 2017 23:00:14 GMT
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Post by CowherPowerForever on Dec 23, 2017 6:36:20 GMT
As darkpast mentioned, the weekend estimates as of now for the 4 day Holiday weekend are only at 118 million. It could easily drop with the snow storm hitting the East Coast. Either way, I feel like this drop was pretty big. The box office for this movie is just as impressive as TFA, and it proves that the fans just aren't as interested in this movie because of the bad word of mouth. However, its 3rd and 4th weekend will tell us way more.
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Post by darkpast on Dec 23, 2017 6:47:01 GMT
As darkpast mentioned, the weekend estimates as of now for the 4 day Holiday weekend are only at 118 million. It could easily drop with the snow storm hitting the East Coast. Either way, I feel like this drop was pretty big. The box office for this movie is just as impressive as TFA, and it proves that the fans just aren't as interested in this movie because of the bad word of mouth. However, its 3rd and 4th weekend will tell us way more. It was never gonna come close TFA, that was one in a lifetime event, the perfect storm of first star wars film in a decade and having the ot cast back. the problem is TFA was liked well enough, than TLJ went out of its way to piss on what the most diehard fans love about star wars, this won't have repeat viewings from fans |
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