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Post by scabab on Dec 24, 2017 16:57:14 GMT
It's at $745 million now.
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Post by politicidal on Dec 24, 2017 18:23:11 GMT
It's at $745 million now. So much for the competition.
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Post by mcufan on Dec 24, 2017 19:03:01 GMT
It's at $745 million now. Before or after the weekend estimate?
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Post by scabab on Dec 24, 2017 21:09:14 GMT
It's at $745 million now. Before or after the weekend estimate? After, as of December 24th.
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Post by scabab on Dec 25, 2017 18:23:33 GMT
It made $32 million on Christmas Day.
The Four Day weekend was $100 million.
Worldwide $777 million.
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Post by darkpast on Dec 26, 2017 1:13:22 GMT
looks to be on track to at least match BATB worldwide. Should cross 1 billion just after New Years
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Post by scabab on Dec 26, 2017 17:56:00 GMT
Well it'll pass $800 million some time today (Tuesday).
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Post by taylorfirst1 on Dec 26, 2017 18:12:33 GMT
That's weird. I thought it was going to be a box office disaster because it has no legs and no repeat viewings because it is so terrible (sarcasm).
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Post by coldenhaulfield on Dec 27, 2017 5:57:26 GMT
That's weird. I thought it was going to be a box office disaster because it has no legs and no repeat viewings because it is so terrible (sarcasm). It has the worst audience retention rate of any live action Star Wars movie.
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Post by DSDSquared on Dec 27, 2017 16:40:14 GMT
That's weird. I thought it was going to be a box office disaster because it has no legs and no repeat viewings because it is so terrible (sarcasm). It has the worst audience retention rate of any live action Star Wars movie. As it makes over a billion dollars.
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Post by darkpast on Dec 27, 2017 18:38:14 GMT
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Post by kevin on Dec 27, 2017 19:51:51 GMT
The drops the last days are a bit bigger than expected, but things are still looking good for The Last Jedi. At this point it has a domestic total of 395.6 million dollars. Using the factorial of the drops of each day of the movie it seems this movie (value of 0.262) is very comparable with the run from Jurassic World (value of 0.263). It is also comparable with Rogue One (value 0.317), even though Rogue One's legs were a bit better than The Last Jedi's. This corresponds with a domestic multiplier of 1.62 - 1.66 from now onwards. This would give a final domestic total of 641 - 657 million. However, we must realize that next week is still holiday for most people and therefore the multiplier will be higher than usual. Comparing multipliers with other holiday releases we get an expected multiplier of 1.72 which results in a 680 million domestic total. So it's almost a given that this would be the 5th or 4th biggest domestic total ever with a very big chance of becoming the 3rd biggest domestical total (Titanic has 659 million domestic including the re-release). Depending on its legs outside of the US this will result in a worldwide box office of 1.4 - 1.6 billion dollars with the latter number being more realistic. In the worst case scenario (so a low multiplier and a lower foreign/US gross) we still get 1.34 billion dollars. So it will pretty much 100% be the highest-grossing movie of 2017, especially since there isn't a lot of competition soon. It will definitely end in the #8 - #5 range of highest-grossing movies of all-time with #5 being the most likely scenario, but if its legs in January are good enough #4 is theoretically still a possibility (Jurassic World has 1.671 billion).
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Post by President Ackbar™ on Dec 27, 2017 19:54:58 GMT
The drops the last days are a bit bigger than expected, but things are still looking good for The Last Jedi. At this point it has a domestic total of 395.6 million dollars. Using the factorial of the drops of each day of the movie it seems this movie (value of 0.262) is very comparable with the run from Jurassic World (value of 0.263). It is also comparable with Rogue One (value 0.317), even though Rogue One's legs were a bit better than The Last Jedi's. This corresponds with a domestic multiplier of 1.62 - 1.66 from now onwards. This would give a final domestic total of 641 - 657 million. However, we must realize that next week is still holiday for most people and therefore the multiplier will be higher than usual. Comparing multipliers with other holiday releases we get an expected multiplier of 1.72 which results in a 680 million domestic total. So it's almost a given that this would be the 5th or 4th biggest domestic total ever with a very big chance of becoming the 3rd biggest domestical total (Titanic has 659 million domestic including the re-release). Depending on its legs outside of the US this will result in a worldwide box office of 1.4 - 1.6 billion dollars with the latter number being more realistic. In the worst case scenario (so a low multiplier and a lower foreign/US gross) we still get 1.34 billion dollars. So it will pretty much 100% be the highest-grossing movie of 2017, especially since there isn't a lot of competition soon. It will definitely end in the #8 - #5 range of highest-grossing movies of all-time with #5 being the most likely scenario, but if its legs in January are good enough #4 is theoretically still a possibility (Jurassic World has 1.671 billion).
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Post by coldenhaulfield on Dec 27, 2017 20:01:12 GMT
It has the worst audience retention rate of any live action Star Wars movie. As it makes over a billion dollars. As it dramatically underperforms expectations.
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Post by kevin on Dec 27, 2017 20:16:23 GMT
The drops the last days are a bit bigger than expected, but things are still looking good for The Last Jedi. At this point it has a domestic total of 395.6 million dollars. Using the factorial of the drops of each day of the movie it seems this movie (value of 0.262) is very comparable with the run from Jurassic World (value of 0.263). It is also comparable with Rogue One (value 0.317), even though Rogue One's legs were a bit better than The Last Jedi's. This corresponds with a domestic multiplier of 1.62 - 1.66 from now onwards. This would give a final domestic total of 641 - 657 million. However, we must realize that next week is still holiday for most people and therefore the multiplier will be higher than usual. Comparing multipliers with other holiday releases we get an expected multiplier of 1.72 which results in a 680 million domestic total. So it's almost a given that this would be the 5th or 4th biggest domestic total ever with a very big chance of becoming the 3rd biggest domestical total (Titanic has 659 million domestic including the re-release). Depending on its legs outside of the US this will result in a worldwide box office of 1.4 - 1.6 billion dollars with the latter number being more realistic. In the worst case scenario (so a low multiplier and a lower foreign/US gross) we still get 1.34 billion dollars. So it will pretty much 100% be the highest-grossing movie of 2017, especially since there isn't a lot of competition soon. It will definitely end in the #8 - #5 range of highest-grossing movies of all-time with #5 being the most likely scenario, but if its legs in January are good enough #4 is theoretically still a possibility (Jurassic World has 1.671 billion). Haha, you're right it's vacation. There should be no math right now.
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Post by DSDSquared on Dec 27, 2017 20:23:45 GMT
As it makes over a billion dollars. As it dramatically underperforms expectations. If you say so.
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Post by taylorfirst1 on Dec 27, 2017 20:40:59 GMT
As it dramatically underperforms expectations. If you say so. "Underperforms expectations" what nonsense. Just another reminder as to why I put him on block a long time ago.
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Post by scabab on Dec 27, 2017 23:55:48 GMT
It'll surpass Revenge of the Sith worldwide....well I suppose it did it Wednesday.
It'll pass Attack of the Clones adjusted in a few days. Then before long it'll pass Revenge of the Sith and Rogue One adjusted as well.
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shinnickneth
Junior Member
@shinnickneth
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Post by shinnickneth on Dec 27, 2017 23:58:58 GMT
Trust me. After the shit that Rian Johnson just pulled, we won't be talking positively about box office sales for Ep. IX. It really did play out like a bad EU novel didn't it? Oh, sorry, I suppose we're calling them "Legends" now and not "Expanded Universe".
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Post by Waxer-n-boil on Dec 28, 2017 1:15:32 GMT
Bigger box office numbers this week shouldn't be that surprising. This is the week of Winter/Christmas break for most people. After New Years Day is when we find out how much juice this movie really has.
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