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Post by Eva Yojimbo on Mar 27, 2018 10:47:42 GMT
A fair coin has a 50/50 probability of landing on heads/tails, so a fair coin predicts that it will land on heads four times in a row 6% of the time (.5^4). A trick coin (at least the one in my scenario) has a 100/0 probability of landing on heads, so a trick coin predicts that it will land on heads four times in a row 100% of the time (1^4). Not sure what about that you're having difficulty with. Coins do not predict anything, they're coins. Or is that just some maths jargon I am unaware of? My OP said:It's the hypotheses that predict the results, not the coins themselves. A "fair-coin hypothesis" predicts 50/50 heads/tails; a "trick-coin hypothesis" predicts 100/0 heads/tails.
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