Post by dazz on Dec 30, 2019 0:45:35 GMT
One thing with reported estimates for a BE point is typically you will find they are low end estimates, based on a film making that amount in the US market where they collect the highest box office split, they will usually be just bellow double the production + marketing budgets, they can also factor in things like product placement which off set cost which SW due to it's nature cannot benefit from.
It's pretty simple you just take the budget in this case $275m supposedly, then you add onto that a likely marketing expense, using the last two Episode's as a baseline it's safe to give this a $185m marketing price tag as TFA had $184.5m and TLJ $185m respectively, so combine those numbers and we get $460m in cost, now if we apply best case scenario factors to that sort of budget the lowest BE point possible is about $840m, now if we apply the likely revenue split based off of what the previous SW films have had we actually get $1b, now that is supposing the supposed budget announce is true and that they didn't spend more on marketing than in previous years.
These numbers btw are based on the widely accepted financial breakdowns of the last few SW movies which most tout as legit so long as they make SW look profitable, though I bet yourself like many others don't actually bother to read and understand the breakdowns properly, I find them fascinating so I do, Disney doesn't take this huge larger profit split despite reports of them strong arming claim, they may force theatres to have to show SW on their largest screen non stop for 6 weeks but their % doesn't seem overly favourable.
Also all of this is just based on Budget + Marketing expenses, this does not include participation bonuses, interest or tax expenses, at it's rawest numbers TROS should need to break $1b before it makes even $1 in profit theatrically.