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Post by Aj_June on Feb 21, 2020 19:25:38 GMT
I don't know if it's right but I came up with a probability of this: #1,2,3,4 means bag#1,2,3,4 #1 - 10/18 = 55.56% #2 - 5/18 = 27.78% #3 - 2/18 = 11.11% #4 - 1/18 = 5.55% Make up a grid to show what's in each bag. x means a blue ball, y means a non-blue ball. #1 - x x x x x x x x x x #2 - x x x x x y y y y y #3 - x x y y y y y y y y #4 - x y y y y y y y y y You don't know the numbering of the bag you're using or what you'll pull out. We can assign grid locations to each ball. The last (rightmost) ball for row 1 is an x and it's at location 1,10. The first y on row 3 is at 3,3. The first y on row 4 is at 4,2. Now, the probability of selecting any particular grid location is the same as any other grid location. You've picked a ball. What are the chances it's blue? Well, there are 40 equal possibilities and I count 18 blue and 22 non-blue so the chance of getting blue is 18/40 = 45%, hence the chance of getting non-blue is 55%. We're told that the ball was blue so how may grid selections are there? 18. There are 10 grid selections available for #1, 5 grid selections for #2 and so on for the other two bags. That's my answer. You are a Ramanujan's fan, aren't you?
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