Can't find "random" testing of covid 19 for percentage
Apr 2, 2020 16:12:48 GMT
The Herald Erjen likes this
Post by drystyx on Apr 2, 2020 16:12:48 GMT
Each time I google for a percentage of a random testing of those tested who are positive, I only get websites I can't be sure of. I try to ask questions of legitimate government websites, but there is no way to ask a question.
The fact is that for purposes we can relate to in parts of the country that aren't "hot spots" yet, to ascertain any mathematical probability of our people being "hot", we need a "random testing done on a random group of at least 5000, more likely 10,000 people, at random, not by symptoms or by association with positive covid 19 cases.
Having a date and time affixed to such tests, and how much incubation time it takes for a result to be "sure", then one can at least estimate if one is already "too late". Probably not much more than that. But at least one can estimate that one is almost surely a carrier and can't go around the most vulnerable people any more.
Is there a random test done yet? With enough demographics to do any good?
The fact is that for purposes we can relate to in parts of the country that aren't "hot spots" yet, to ascertain any mathematical probability of our people being "hot", we need a "random testing done on a random group of at least 5000, more likely 10,000 people, at random, not by symptoms or by association with positive covid 19 cases.
Having a date and time affixed to such tests, and how much incubation time it takes for a result to be "sure", then one can at least estimate if one is already "too late". Probably not much more than that. But at least one can estimate that one is almost surely a carrier and can't go around the most vulnerable people any more.
Is there a random test done yet? With enough demographics to do any good?