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Post by Deleted on Sept 30, 2017 14:06:41 GMT
Personally, I just go with the eye test, how well organised a team has looked recently, particularly in defence, do they look like a threat attacking wise, on the counter, with pace or set pieces etc, then just try and visualise how many goals they can score against each other. Like Southampton for example, I thought they played really well last week, dominated large sections, they lost but it was a good enough display to make me think they can narrowly beat Stoke away this week, when probably ordinarily I might have gone for the Stoke home win or maybe a draw.
Obviously that doesn't really help much if you don't get to watch a lot of football, in which case I'd probably just try and interpret the stats any which way I can, or just guess! Some of the games are gimmes, some are tricky, getting those tricky games right regularly, just getting 10 points from those games about half the time will add up.
And get the 10 points enough, and the juicy 40s will come along.
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