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Post by Aj_June on Mar 10, 2020 13:47:14 GMT
That you have your own made up definitions of words is not my concern. And it is Unknown and new issue and capable of causing much harm. 11,200 new cases in Italy or doubling of cases in Spain overnight is concern for the people and it is not just about suitability. More increase in cases would mean people may have problems finding hospital beds and that could cause even more problem and put far more people at risk. RIP to the hundreds of thousands who died of the flu over the past year, I bet they didn't have hospital beds for all of them, either. If only you cared about them as much as you care about the potential Covid-19 cases. I expect daily updates and statistics on flu patients year round from you now, not just the flashy virus making headlines today. I'm not sure what's worse, your hypocrisy or the ease with which you're manipulated by the fearmongering flavor of the month. Totally emotional argument. If it feels nice to label people names then it's fine but I will still let you know how it works. If i want t know the average number of people who would die of cancer then I can look at previous 50 years stats. I will get a range. An average. Things will not deviate from range, average when I look at the numbers at the end of the year. Do I post on that on a daily basis. N0. May be once in a year if I start a topic on that. If I want to know the average number of people who would die of Corona then I can not look at previous 50 years stats. More than that I cannot measure the economic impact of Covid-19. Does being assured of one problem and not assured about the other seem the same to you. No, the later case is a cause fro greater concern.
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Post by Aj_June on Mar 10, 2020 13:48:38 GMT
Yes, you are making a wrong argument by comparing higher absolute (total) number of fatality caused by flu (something with a long history) with something which is new and on the rise. At least I'm using valid data as opposed to random hypotheticals to prove my point. Never mind, man. I just sneezed so I'm probably dying. There's only one solution. Making false comparison based on valid data (that is also for one part -flu) doesn't make the argument correct.
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Post by Rey Kahuka on Mar 10, 2020 14:38:50 GMT
RIP to the hundreds of thousands who died of the flu over the past year, I bet they didn't have hospital beds for all of them, either. If only you cared about them as much as you care about the potential Covid-19 cases. I expect daily updates and statistics on flu patients year round from you now, not just the flashy virus making headlines today. I'm not sure what's worse, your hypocrisy or the ease with which you're manipulated by the fearmongering flavor of the month. Totally emotional argument. If it feels nice to label people names then it's fine but I will still let you know how it works. If i want t know the average number of people who would die of cancer then I can look at previous 50 years stats. I will get a range. An average. Things will not deviate from range, average when I look at the numbers at the end of the year. Do I post on that on a daily basis. N0. May be once in a year if I start a topic on that. If I want to know the average number of people who would die of Corona then I can not look at previous 50 years stats. More than that I cannot measure the economic impact of Covid-19. Does being assured of one problem and not assured about the other seem the same to you. No, the later case is a cause fro greater concern. You can't be clueless and condescending at the same time, so give it a rest. You've made up hypotheticals, feigned concern for potential victims while ignoring the plight of others with similar issues affected by a different virus, and aped the argument of another poster while you were at it. You've posted hollow statistics without context. None of this disproves my earlier argument, that the high risk demographics have been identified and that's where society should focus. Not a catch-all overaction of shutting down public gatherings because the elderly and those in poor health may be at risk, which is also true of the flu every year with absolutely no precaution whatsoever.
Do you have any genuine arguments beyond hypotheticals and admitting your own ignorance? Your argument in this latest post equates to, "I don't know how bad it is so we better shut everything down until we can get 50 years (or even 1 year) of data on Covid-19." That is the definition of a panic reaction, especially considering there is plenty of raw data already available. The recovery rates are established, the high risk groups have been identified. If it's chaos in northern Italy or any other isolated area due to poor living conditions, than by all means quarantine them if it makes you feel better. If you're elderly or have health issues to begin with, avoid crowds and everyone in general should practice common sense cleanliness. Canceling public gatherings worldwide due to an illness no worse than those we already have (and the data is there whether you want to admit it or not) is insanity.
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Post by Rey Kahuka on Mar 10, 2020 14:40:17 GMT
At least I'm using valid data as opposed to random hypotheticals to prove my point. Never mind, man. I just sneezed so I'm probably dying. There's only one solution. Making false comparison based on valid data (that is also for one part -flu) doesn't make the argument correct. It isn't a false comparison at all. You literally made up an argument, so you don't get to tell me what's false and what isn't.
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Post by Aj_June on Mar 10, 2020 14:44:20 GMT
Totally emotional argument. If it feels nice to label people names then it's fine but I will still let you know how it works. If i want t know the average number of people who would die of cancer then I can look at previous 50 years stats. I will get a range. An average. Things will not deviate from range, average when I look at the numbers at the end of the year. Do I post on that on a daily basis. N0. May be once in a year if I start a topic on that. If I want to know the average number of people who would die of Corona then I can not look at previous 50 years stats. More than that I cannot measure the economic impact of Covid-19. Does being assured of one problem and not assured about the other seem the same to you. No, the later case is a cause fro greater concern. You can't be clueless and condescending at the same time, so give it a rest. You've made up hypotheticals, feigned concern for potential victims while ignoring the plight of others with similar issues affected by a different virus, and aped the argument of another poster while you were at it. You've posted hollow statistics without context. None of this disproves my earlier argument, that the high risk demographics have been identified and that's where society should focus. Not a catch-all overaction of shutting down public gatherings because the elderly and those in poor health may be at risk, which is also true of the flu every year with absolutely no precaution whatsoever.
Do you have any genuine arguments beyond hypotheticals and admitting your own ignorance? Your argument in this latest post equates to, "I don't know how bad it is so we better shut everything down until we can get 50 years (or even 1 year) of data on Covid-19." That is the definition of a panic reaction, especially considering there is plenty of raw data already available. The recovery rates are established, the high risk groups have been identified. If it's chaos in northern Italy or any other isolated area due to poor living conditions, than by all means quarantine them if it makes you feel better. If you're elderly or have health issues to begin with, avoid crowds and everyone in general should practice common sense cleanliness. Canceling public gatherings worldwide due to an illness no worse than those we already have (and the data is there whether you want to admit it or not) is insanity. Lol.
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Post by Aj_June on Mar 10, 2020 14:50:08 GMT
Making false comparison based on valid data (that is also for one part -flu) doesn't make the argument correct. It isn't a false comparison at all. You literally made up an argument, so you don't get to tell me what's false and what isn't. It is totally a false comparison to compare two different class of things. One with known statistics that has existed forever and one which is completely new and still on the rise. The comparison will be valid only after Covid-19 threat stabilises. Of course, you are also overlooking how more cases of Covid-19 brings other potential issues.
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Post by Rey Kahuka on Mar 10, 2020 14:51:15 GMT
I'm sure that really no matter who is in charge of the government, we are probably not completely ready for an outbreak like this could potentially be. That's really the thing. While I scratch my head at the dismantling/de-funding of the CDC and other federal agencies under the guise of trimming fat, the US economy, and really the world itself is just a house of cards and it always has been....and it always will be. It doesn't matter who is in charge because when that microbe, massive earthquake/hurricane, flood, famine, drought, whatever it may be comes, it will be catastrophic. You can prepare all you want for catastrophes, you can educate people, you can build better sea walls, better buildings, better medicines, but at the end of the day, you can't stop people from coughing on you, from panicking, from buying all the antibiotics in the pharmacy and leaving everyone else with nothing. In the end, humanity is doomed one way or another. I look to Hurricane Sandy as something that I lived through as a microcosm of what could be. Where I lived then, Long Beach NY, was totally fucked. Our apartment was high up so our home was fine, but the building itself, the streets, the infrastructure of the town, was basically gone. And as terrible as the physical devastation was, and despite the pre-programmed rallying cries of "Long Beach Strong," people still got into fist fights waiting for gas for their cars, people would rip bottles of water out of people's hands at grocery stores, merchants started gouging for propane tanks to heat people's homes, etc. That was one bad storm that badly effected a relatively small area (Long Beach, a handful of other towns along Long Island's south shore had substantial damage) in the grand scheme of things. Multiply that by just one order of magnitude and now you're talking anarchy in the streets, with dwindling supplies and desperate people doing desperate things. It's only a matter of time. When it's really going to get ugly is when climate change really starts to rear its head. Natural disasters are getting more frequent and extreme, glacial meltwater is going to raise the global water level and resources as basic as drinkable water are going to continue to become more scarce. Continued deforestation and coral reef depletion in the oceans are going to have serious ramifications on the food chain from the bottom up. It's going to be a conflict for resources, and where do you think that leaves third world countries? Hell, where does that leave poor people in first world countries? We could be 50 years away from the tipping point, maybe less.
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Post by Rey Kahuka on Mar 10, 2020 14:52:39 GMT
It isn't a false comparison at all. You literally made up an argument, so you don't get to tell me what's false and what isn't. It is totally a false comparison to compare two different class of things. One with known statistics that has existed forever and one which is completely new and still on the rise. The comparison will be valid only after Covid-19 threat stabilises. Of course, you are also overlooking how more cases of Covid-19 brings other potential issues. Tell me another story about made up cases of Covid-19 in Italy in 2018.
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Post by Aj_June on Mar 10, 2020 15:03:23 GMT
It is totally a false comparison to compare two different class of things. One with known statistics that has existed forever and one which is completely new and still on the rise. The comparison will be valid only after Covid-19 threat stabilises. Of course, you are also overlooking how more cases of Covid-19 brings other potential issues. Tell me another story about made up cases of Covid-19 in Italy in 2018. What story you want to know? I do not have any made up stats of Italy. If you want to know as reported figure then I can provide. The Covid-19 graph of Italy is quite different form that of S Korea or China. It is U-shaped in which the curve is on the rise. The ratio of people who have died to the ratio of people who have been infected is significantly greater for Italy than for China or S Korea. There is not much greater info at the moment to point out any reason what might be causing that. I believe public lockdown in Italy will be helpful in containing it. Most of the people here in India who have this virus got it from Italy. I believe this problem will be eventually stabilise but how the authorities deal with it might be important. Somebody mentioned above that tourists from certain countries were not going through health checkpoints in the UK. I believe the government can do that much at least.
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Post by Rey Kahuka on Mar 10, 2020 15:29:20 GMT
Tell me another story about made up cases of Covid-19 in Italy in 2018. What story you want to know? I do not have any made up stats of Italy. If you want to know as reported figure then I can provide. The Covid-19 graph of Italy is quite different form that of S Korea or China. It is U-shaped in which the curve is on the rise. The ratio of people who have died to the ratio of people who have been infected is significantly greater for Italy than for China or S Korea. There is not much greater info at the moment to point out any reason what might be causing that. I believe public lockdown in Italy will be helpful in containing it. Most of the people here in India who have this virus got it from Italy. I believe this problem will be eventually stabilise but how the authorities deal with it might be important. Somebody mentioned above that tourists from certain countries were not going through health checkpoints in the UK. I believe the government can do that much at least. I agree 100% with this post, and I'm not being sarcastic. Lockdown that area if it seems to be spiraling out of control. My main argument is that I don't think it's necessary to cancel all public gatherings worldwide due to unusual results in an isolated pocket of the outbreak when we haven't seen similar results anywhere else. If nothing else it makes me suspicious of the reports, but that's a separate issue I suppose. Either way it certainly bears further investigation and more extreme precautions in that area, no argument there. My main concern is the effect the media attention and misinformation has on the public, and thus the economy. Hey we finally got somewhere with this conversation. Thanks for bearing with me, I know I can be an asshole.
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Post by movieliker on Mar 10, 2020 16:55:42 GMT
If you can afford it, stay home and take care of yourself. If you can't, go to work. I don't care if you have a cold, the flu, or the Coronavirus. As long as you don't have a fever, do what ever you want --- or have to. But if you feel absolutely awful --- stay home. Naturally I will avoid Mass*, public transport, and other communal places, even though I'm certain it is just a cold. Will still walk dogs, and do necessary shopping, etc. until recovered. Getting a cold is so awkward in the current climate. *pretty sure I caught it at Sunday Mass, person behind me was coughing and sneezing. Are you sure it's a cold? I can't tell the difference between a cold and an allergy attack. Same symptoms. (And of course, allergies are not contagious.)
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Post by movieliker on Mar 10, 2020 16:59:09 GMT
Yet you don't panic, nor does anyone else. We all go on with our lives. It's highly contagious and kills hundreds of thousands of people every year, yet I'm pretty sure you haven't expressed your concerns about that at any time on this board. We don't cancel events and go into lockdown for five months every year during flu season. 'People with no medical expertise' are acting like it's the end times right here in this thread. They throw out statistics without context. I wonder how many non-elderly people without preexisting health conditions have died from Covid-19? The gloom and doom charts leave out the important details. What you need to know is people are dying, so be afraid. The real problem is that death rates will soar if too many people become infected at the same time because the hospitals will be unable to cope with the numbers. That's not true. Half of the people who get the Coronavirus show no symptoms. And of the other half, most of them just have the symptoms of the common cold. Neither of those to groups need a hospital.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 10, 2020 17:06:24 GMT
The real problem is that death rates will soar if too many people become infected at the same time because the hospitals will be unable to cope with the numbers. That's not true. Half of the people who get the Coronavirus show no symptoms. And of the other half, most of them just have the symptoms of the common cold. Neither of those to groups need a hospital. And yet the mortality rate in Italy is 1 in 18 of the infected 🤷♀️
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Post by movieliker on Mar 10, 2020 17:11:17 GMT
That's not true. Half of the people who get the Coronavirus show no symptoms. And of the other half, most of them just have the symptoms of the common cold. Neither of those to groups need a hospital. And yet the mortality rate in Italy is 1 in 18 of the infected 🤷♀️ Of those who died in Italy, were they old or already sick with some chronic disease? Because that is what's being reported of those who die from it. Young healthy people don't suffer much. At least that's what's being reported.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 10, 2020 17:16:18 GMT
And yet the mortality rate in Italy is 1 in 18 of the infected 🤷♀️ Of those who died in Italy, were they old or already sick with some chronic disease? Because that is what's being reported of those who die from it. Young healthy people don't suffer much. At least that's what's being reported. 1 in 18. Think about that number... That's a lot of old and people with underlying health conditions you are dismissively throwing under a bus. I hope they are never people you love. Another big jump in deaths in Italy today, 198 in last 24 hours... hospitals collapsing, ambulances having to travel up to 100km to answer emergency calls.
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Post by movieliker on Mar 10, 2020 17:28:27 GMT
Of those who died in Italy, were they old or already sick with some chronic disease? Because that is what's being reported of those who die from it. Young healthy people don't suffer much. At least that's what's being reported. 1 in 18. Think about that number... That's a lot of old and people with underlying health conditions you are dismissively throwing under a bus. I hope they are never people you love. That is not my point. These old and sick people were already vulnerable. And in a highly likely group to get really sick and/or die. If you are not old, or suffering from a chronic disease, odds are nothing serious will happen to you. Even if you contract it.
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Post by Rey Kahuka on Mar 10, 2020 17:29:17 GMT
Of those who died in Italy, were they old or already sick with some chronic disease? Because that is what's being reported of those who die from it. Young healthy people don't suffer much. At least that's what's being reported. 1 in 18. Think about that number... That's a lot of old and people with underlying health conditions you are dismissively throwing under a bus. I hope they are never people you love. Another big jump in deaths in Italy today, 198 in last 24 hours... hospitals collapsing, ambulances having to travel up to 100km to answer emergency calls. So this is turning into a story about Italy's failing infrastructure.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 10, 2020 17:29:52 GMT
1 in 18. Think about that number... That's a lot of old and people with underlying health conditions you are dismissively throwing under a bus. I hope they are never people you love. That is not my point. These old and sick people were already vulnerable. And in a highly likely group to get really sick and/or die. If you are not old, or suffering from a chronic disease, odds are nothing serious will happen to you. Even if you contract it. So you don't care about the people who are dying then?
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Post by Deleted on Mar 10, 2020 17:30:50 GMT
1 in 18. Think about that number... That's a lot of old and people with underlying health conditions you are dismissively throwing under a bus. I hope they are never people you love. Another big jump in deaths in Italy today, 198 in last 24 hours... hospitals collapsing, ambulances having to travel up to 100km to answer emergency calls. So this is turning into a story about Italy's failing infrastructure. Nope, it coped fine before the pandemic. No country is in any better position to cope. If it hits where you are, you'll find out first hand.
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Post by movieliker on Mar 10, 2020 17:33:02 GMT
That is not my point. These old and sick people were already vulnerable. And in a highly likely group to get really sick and/or die. If you are not old, or suffering from a chronic disease, odds are nothing serious will happen to you. Even if you contract it. So you don't care about the people who are dying then? Cetainly I do. But the misinformation and panic is reporting everyone is at risk of dying. Not just the old and sick.
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