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Post by bluerisk on Oct 9, 2021 13:06:11 GMT
I guess the Seahawkes can tank now for good draft picks and an easy schedule in the next season. Imho the draft needs a lottery system for the upper and lower end. The top 4 and bottom 4 should have their ranks assigned by this lottery (before the rest of the leagues get their ranks). The Super Bowl winners could end up with the first overall pick, the worst team, with the well deserved 32nd pick. Why should get good QB like Lawrence and Wilson get thrown under the bus for dysfunctional franchises like the Jaguars or Jets. Or Burrows who got almost killed by his own inadequate O-line...and why was it inadequate, because the front office died a shitty job. So punish these front offices for their poor performance and(!) care. In average the top 4 would benefit and be rewarded for their performance in the last season, the bottom 4 will get punished. Tanking would no longer be a viable strategy, and reaching the conference finals would receive an extra incentive. Since the schedule of better performing team is in generally harder, it also evens out that aspect a bit. Some will say it should only be the bottom four, but I say it stinks that performance is punished. Seahawks don't have a first-round pick; no sense in tanking. And doing it your way would result in the same stuff that plagues European soccer - dominant teams winning every year with bad teams falling farther and farther behind. Super Bowl winners already get the greatest reward in the sport - now you want to give them a chance to bring in the best talent? By itself, high picks aren't enough. You need a strong organization to make the most of them (see: Cleveland under Berry and Stefanski). But without those picks, these teams would have almost zero chance to climb. Some teams don't even tank - they just suck. And you want to punish them more by giving them the last first-round pick? Who said something about the first overall pick? Where did I said that?! I said good draft picks => single digit. Since they don't need a franchise QB -the first picks are usually used for QBs, they can draft other top players (O-Line, WRs). So it can make sense to tank. Considering their division it is game over. My idea is also limited to the top four teams (I also accepted it if it is even limited to the bottom four teams), and you ignored the fact that the NFL has a space cap, which is far more effective than the draft. Many top drafts turn out to be bust, many second rounder or lower turn out to be great. And in the average the teams would get a 16.5 round picks. So the advantage is not that great overall. The Chiefs could land the first overall pick, but als the 32nd pick, and thus even be a bit worse off then without this lottery, but in the average it would be a 16.5 picks and thus moderately better. The free agency combined with no cap space would provide opportunities like in Europe - what is actually the idea of a free market. You have no problem with Amazon, Facebook, Walmart, Mircosoft and Co. but god beware the Dallas Cowboys operated like any other free business. Big rich teams could simply hire the elites players of the league if it weren't for the cap space. The idea of a limited lottery would not provide this opportunity. And had the Chiefs picked Trevor Lawrence?! And yes. If you suck because you did a bad job, hired the wrong people, drafted the wrong people or just don't care (the owners of the Redskins or the Bengals), then you should be punished. In other leagues such teams get relegated. They have to leave until they have proven that they are competitive again and receive a promotion based on merits. Another idea of the free market: businesses which are not competitive will defunct and clear the market. Zombies-firms (or franchises) do more harm than good. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zombie_companyPS: And use once more the S-word when addressing me (and you know that I'm a European - so no there is no excuse), and we are done.
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 9, 2021 8:39:45 GMT
Russell Wilson could need surgery for his finger and be out for up to a month or more. I guess the Seahawkes can tank now for good draft picks and an easy schedule in the next season. Imho the draft needs a lottery system for the upper and lower end. The top 4 and bottom 4 should have their ranks assigned by this lottery (before the rest of the leagues get their ranks). The Super Bowl winners could end up with the first overall pick, the worst team, with the well deserved 32nd pick. Why should get good QB like Lawrence and Wilson get thrown under the bus for dysfunctional franchises like the Jaguars or Jets. Or Burrows who got almost killed by his own inadequate O-line...and why was it inadequate, because the front office died a shitty job. So punish these front offices for their poor performance and(!) care. In average the top 4 would benefit and be rewarded for their performance in the last season, the bottom 4 will get punished. Tanking would no longer be a viable strategy, and reaching the conference finals would receive an extra incentive. Since the schedule of better performing team is in generally harder, it also evens out that aspect a bit. Some will say it should only be the bottom four, but I say it stinks that performance is punished.
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 9, 2021 1:18:14 GMT
Well, after they give Megan Rapinoe a free pass..
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 8, 2021 21:27:47 GMT
Gronk out Sunday vs. Dolphins *unhappy German noises
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 6, 2021 19:52:15 GMT
Mahomes...when will this hype end?
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 6, 2021 13:16:31 GMT
I picked yes, for I don't think that he is a clutch player. He will produce good number, MVP-title included, secure playoff berths, but no silverware.
Maybe the anti-thesis to Eli Manning. Meh overall, but two rings.
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 5, 2021 18:37:09 GMT
No way. I barely want to be a Vikings fan as is. If they ever moved I'd pick a different team. Why don't pick an other team now? If I had no trust, hope or fun with the Pats, I would choose an other team (but the Packers are even worse than the Pats => front office).
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 5, 2021 18:33:41 GMT
They're more into Raider nation mentality, and don't need an excuse to go to Vegas. Aren't pirates marauders who called all of the seven seas their home? So I agree that the Raiders have an own mentally, that they lay claim to the entire US as their domain. And which town is more akin to this mind-set than Vegas?
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 5, 2021 18:30:11 GMT
If my QB and TE leave the town*, I'll be still loyal.
So yes, it's the team, not the town I root for. But I can't imagine that a team in Europe would ever relocate. But we have a different culture and mind-set. Our teams have names like 1. FC Köln, or 1. FC Freiburg. The town name, is the team name. It was founded there and all German teams are organized like Greenbay. Not own by a person, family or a company/group of investors, but by its members, and everyone is allowed to join. We have even a 50+1 rule that forbids that a single investor can own more then 50% of a club; 50+1% have to be in the ownership of the club and thus its members - the many.
The very opposite of the NFL, where the number of owners is limited, and only Greenbay is allowed to maintain its kind of organization by being grandfathered.
*I have never been to Boston or Foxborough although I intend to change that in fall 2022.
Without Covid I would have been in Tokyo in 2020, and now in New England/East coast area (Boston, New York, Philly, Washington...maybe Florida).
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 5, 2021 18:13:31 GMT
Windows 7. This PC is from 2012, Last year I bough a new one (custom build) for a bit more than 4000 Euros (~$4700) with Windows 10. I absolutely hate Windows 10 and thus I hardly use it. It functions more as a back-up, especially for my data.
As long as this PC works, I'll stay with it, and when it crashes...then be it. A blue screen of death happen once a year.
PS: I also hate the cell phone versions of home pages and always scroll down to change it to the desktop version I'm used to, and which provides you a much better overview. So the idea to turn Windows 8 PCs into a large cell phone version with all it limitations was utter BS to me.
Wiki on it:
I have no love for the tiles. I want my icons, the ones I created and were placed where I wanted them to be, and a start button with a list(!) of all(!) programs.
But else I want to see my wallpaper, not tiles.
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 5, 2021 15:49:11 GMT
I'm too European to see the problem.
Except for his lack of working ethic and professionalism. Partying after the fourth loss...
PS: And when speaking of his family. What would be their "benefit" if he is losing his job and thus their livelihood?
So his family isn't hardly an pro argument to fire him, that is a private matter.
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 5, 2021 14:15:17 GMT
8:20pm EST LA Rams @ Seahawks Home game, and the Rams are the better team so far. It's not a home game for the Rams, if that changes your mind. Nope...this @ instead of vs. Still Rams.
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 5, 2021 12:14:12 GMT
8:20pm EST
LA Rams @ Seahawks
Home game, and the Rams are the better team so far.
Sunday October 10th
9:30am
NY Jets vs Atlanta (London)
Need vs misery. But the Jets seems to have found some ground, while the Falcons continue to shot themselves in the foot and blowing leads on the last yards to go.
1:00pm
Philadelphia @ Carolina
Panthers are at least solid.
Green Bay @ Cincinnati
The Packers are clicking, or it was an one week strike, the finger to the front office, or whatever...bad food? Strike off the week one game.
New England @ Houston
Houston started better than anticipated, then lost their halfway decent QB, and now they are total dumpster fire - as expected. It will takes years to fix this franchise.
Tennessee @ Jacksonville
The AFC Least...no, South, it doesn't rhyme or make sense. I don't think that Tennessee will become division winners with a negative record like the Redskins last year. And the Jaguars are one of those team they have and will defeat.
The Jaguars, team Bust, the Texans...may god. Last year the Colts had Rivers and made it to the play offs, the team is still good on paper but they lack a proper QB, thus a 1-3. Two years ago the Texans were a hopeful prospect (Watson, Watt, Hopkins) which made it also to the playoffs. The Jaguars were, are and will most likely always be a joke until the franchise is dissolved or relocated under a new owner.
The AFC South is the new NFC Least.
Detroit @ Minnesota
It would need six "Quarters" for the Lions to be successful with there late rebounds.
Denver @ Pittsburgh
Steelers, imho the Broncos were rather lucky and had an easy schedule (=> Giants, Jaguars, Jets IIRC - in their weakest phase) than being really that good.
Miami @ Tampa Bay
Tampa, but the injury list is long...but our QB is not on it. *knocks on wood.
New Orleans @ Washington
Tough, but the Saints are hits and miss: W, L, W, L...no matter who was the opponent (Packers, Pats), so it is a W this week.
4:05pm
Chicago @ Las Vegas
Bears, I guess the spell is broken and the Raiders are back to their former dysfunctional self
Cleveland @ LA Chargers
Charger are a more complete team, the Brown relay to much on the rushing game. Yeah Bill, one can relay to much on the rushing game, but -1 is not too much actually.
4:25pm
San Francisco @ Arizona
Cardinals until proven otherwise...they are two franchises in one: Cardinals and the crown jewels of the Texans (Hopkins, Watt).
NY Giants @ Dallas
Dallas, they are a full grown top ten team now.
8:20pm
Buffalo @ Kansas City
Aside from game one the Bills are steamrolling, while the Chiefs are struggling. On paper as clear as clear as is the summer's sun. The latter part was Shakespeare.
Monday October 11th
8:15pm
Indianapolis @ Baltimore
The Colts have to accept that they made the wrong bet on Wentz, just as Jerry did the right one on Dak. Sure, things can change. But Four week into the season are enough time to make at least a first assessment. The Dolphins played without their QB and thus this sole victory has an asterisk. But I have also to admit that they had so far a brutal schedule. The anti-thesis to the Broncos. So all a bit milky through.
The Ravens have still some issues, but for the most part they can do the job: putting more points on the board than the other team.
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 5, 2021 0:54:10 GMT
Seems to be a full stadium with a lot of Chargers fans...one issue Herbert has already addressed.
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 5, 2021 0:49:37 GMT
It’s a disgrace that they are having a weather delay in a stadium with a roof. This is embarrassing for the NFL, I don’t get it at all, ESPN is broadcasting from the field, fans are in their seats, but they can’t play the game? I was just about to launch this question...
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 4, 2021 20:18:49 GMT
I did not watch any football this weekend, its October challange month for me. I did watch some highlights, Salah's goal was amazing. Me too, I switched to American football.
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 4, 2021 20:15:52 GMT
Even Sheryl Crow and Madonna could deliver halfway solid performances.
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 4, 2021 13:08:05 GMT
Brady is not done with football, even after his active career. And coach is not the only position: GM, NFL commissioner, or even as team owner (his dad is a billionaire, and the Jaguars or Bengals shouldn't be that expensive - but yes: far fetched at best).
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 4, 2021 12:29:01 GMT
The Bucs deserved to win the game: In the first quarter they managed it three times near or into to end zone, while the Pats had no offense game at all. There was nothing. And when we talk about nothing, then we also have to speak about there entirely absent rushing game. Mac looked good - and he was at times good - but only because he was passing, and he benefited from a Bucs secondary which was as absent as rushing game of the Pats. When you add up the yards, the Bucs outplayed the Pats. Pats: Passing yards: 295 (=> Bucs' secondary) Rushing yars: -1(!) Overall: 294 Bucs: Passing yards: 261 (not great, not terrible considering the conditions) Rushing yards: 119 Overall: 380 One things that stood out was the circumstance that Brady wasted too many first and second down for very long and risky passes - almost Hail Marys. It seems that he wanted to demonstrate his craft and prowess no matter what, but fell short this night - there was no Gronk, the rain, and a rather good defense of the Pats. I guess he wanted to force great plays like the Hail Mary pass on Miller in the NFC final against the Packers. But like this FG attempt at 56 yards with heavy rain, the conditions had commanded a more secure short pass game. Lucky enough for the Bucs: their running game was back online. To some degree because the Pats defense had to make amends to Brady's strong tendency to throw long passes over and over again (his completion percentage was just shy above the 50% mark). If Brown had 'caught one or two of these passes, it had been the deciding factor in such a low score game. So Brady and the Bucs forced them to make a decision: cover the TEs and WRs and shot down the (long) passing game, or risk one or two passing TDs for the sake of stalled rushing game - pretty much the one thing that kept the Bucs alive. Mac Jones abysmal in the first quarter, but his brilliant TD drive in second quarter change the momentum, but the third Quarter belonged again to the Bucs. One could also say the refs kept the Pats in the game, and the 4th quarter was the most open one, but with the Pats having the upper hand. But like in the above mentioned NFC final, it was the coach, not the QB, who made the final call that led on the road of certain defeat. I think Mac Jones had earned himself the chance of a fourth down, but like LeFleur, Belichick denied his QB this chance, and in the end lost the game for both of them - and the entire team. Mac Jones could not overcome his mediocre coach. Belichick made only one significant call this night, and it was the one that brought defeat. The reasoning for my verdict: The chance of a two point conversion is about 50%, while the success rate for a fourth down in case of a short distance is more then 2/3 (67,5% according to the source below, and Mac Jones had a strong fourth quarter). The difference is due to the fact that the defending team in the end zone has much less area to cover. So the chance for a new first down was close to 70%, while the chance for a 56 yards field goal in a night with heavy rain is what...less than 50%? The source for the 4th down chances: sports.sites.yale.edu/success-short-yardage-play-types-fourth-downThe numbers for long distance kicks, but these numbers do not factor in the conditions (indoor/outdoor; good weather/bad weather; day/night): https://www.reddit.com/r/nfl/comments/d4h2r0/kicker_accuracy_accounting_for_distance/ www.businessinsider.com/chart-field-goals-have-become-boringly-predictable-in-the-nfl-2013-10I guess on one hand the kickers get better, but aside better techniques, because we have more and more indoor arenas in which weather and darkness have no longer an effect. But this kick was outside and under the worst possible conditions, what pushed this attempt below a 50% chance like it was the case in the 90s with far less indoor arenas, and even then only conducted when the weather was not that atrocious. So statically it was the wrong call (~70% play the 4th down vs. less than 50% for a FG at that distance under these conditions), and it was "emotionally" the wrong call: Mac Jones had proved himself and earned this 70% chance to keep the drive alive. It might have resulted in no points, in a winning fields goal, or even a TD. But a missed FG was the game over. Belichick made the difference in that game by failing You know I'm with you on BB, but I still don't hate the FG call. Mac threw the ball right to a LB on the previous drive. I think as a coach I would've put the ball in Jones's hands, but considering the situation and the fact that Folk had made like 40 in a row or whatever, I don't think it's ludicrous to go for a FG. It is a little surprising; considering all the trick plays they threw out there, the Pats were really trying to win this game at all costs-- so the FG attempt is incredibly conservative with the game on the line. We'll never know what he was thinking there, probably because it would reveal there isn't much of a thought process to begin with. Brady had quite a few off target throws, but it was Operation Dumbo Drop out there. Brown could've iced the game with that TD if he held on, but it wouldn't even have come to that if they could've held onto the ball more often all night. It also strangely appeared that Brady and his receivers weren't on the same page more than once last night, it looked like early 2020 Bucs offense. Tough to gauge Mac's performance. He looked really good, but I think I would've looked good against that defense last night. I think I was actually playing defense for the Bucs last night. I'm going to go glass half full and hope this is a sign of good things to come. Then let us agree that we disagree on the FG. That's what I mean with cop-out (the bold sections), and being exposed as mediocre. To trust Mac Jones and let him play the 4th down is one thing, to work out a brilliant game play that guides him the way would have been the other. But like I said: he went for the cop-out.
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Post by bluerisk on Oct 4, 2021 12:22:01 GMT
Here is my recap and analysis of Week 4’s games Buccaneers defeat Patriots 19-17. Interesting and often times ugly game, but Brady gets the win in his return to NE. The Bucs just came up with a few more plays when it mattered, although Brady was off for a lot of the game and didn’t play his best, I think Mac Jones outplayed him for much of the game. Very questionable call by Belichick to kick the long FG instead of going for it on 4th down with a minute left, I didn’t like it. The Bucs have a lot of work to do and their secondary being very banged up is concerning, but they did establish more of a rushing game with Fournette almost getting 100 yards. The Pats have a lot of holes but I like Jones as a QB and while I don’t think they will have a winning record this year I think Jones will be a solid franchise QB for them. Any Thoughts? The FG criticism is fair, but I think any call in that situation is a roll of the dice. If I want to put on my conspiracy hat, I'd say Belichick saw either option as 50/50 and would rather have the kicker take the blame instead of the rookie QB. Jones had a great game, but made a couple of terrible decisions that almost cost them the game on the previous drive. Ugly game all around, Brady clearly caught up in the emotions of the situation. Michaels and Collinsworth talked about Brady getting emotional with them before they even got on the plane. You could tell during the game, the ball was really sailing on him all night. Some of it was the weather, there were a ton of drops, but some of the passes were wildly off target. I got a kick out of Collinsworth trying to give credit to Belichick. Belichick couldn't stop Jameis Winston last week, but now he's a mastermind again, 'confusing' Tom Brady. As a Pats fan and a Brady fan, this was the worst possible outcome for me. First and foremost, my team lost. And even though the Brady/Belichick argument was officially decided last year (there are some holdouts denying reality for their own reasons, but the graphic NBC put up of Belichick's record without Brady says it all), it would've been fun to see Brady have a big game against his old team. Where do the Pats go from here? As I said last night, 1-3 is a tough hole to dig out of-- and we're 0-3 at home for the first time since 1995 (do I need to ask why that never happened when Brady was here?). Our next three games: Texans, Cowboys and Jets. At least two of those three games are extremely winnable. This season isn't over yet. But it never was a 50/50 (rather a 40/70 and thus the FG was not even like flipping a coin, while the play had had a 2/3 chance if not more)*. And Belichick fails in his job if he does not know the statistics. And I don't think that he protected Jones by taking the game out of his hands - Mac was on fire. Look how much Rodgers appreciated the moved to trust the kicker and not him. Mac Jones had earned this trust, and this chance. *a failed 4th down has dire consequences, and thus the good chances are mostly and rightly ignored, and the coach goes for a punt, but in this situation it was all or nothing, and thus the odds commanded it.
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