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Post by scabab on May 2, 2019 16:59:28 GMT
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Post by Vassaggo on May 2, 2019 17:01:12 GMT
Whats your upper estimate now?
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Post by darkpast on May 2, 2019 17:15:57 GMT
I think this gets to 3.2b. Should beat TFA domestic unadjusted if it holds well this weekend
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Post by Vassaggo on May 3, 2019 1:55:56 GMT
I think after opening weekend, I'd believe anything could happen. I thought I was prepared for how insane the number was going to be. I was not.
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Post by scabab on May 3, 2019 16:01:25 GMT
Took in another $21.7 million in US on Thursday. So from Sunday to now, up to yet, Endgame despite opening much higher is having better holds than Infinity War. Infinity War's Thursday was 22.5% of it's Sunday but Endgame's Thursday is 24% of it's Sunday. I haven't seen a worldwide update yet. Whats your upper estimate now? It has a good chance at making $3 billion perhaps.
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Post by kevin on May 3, 2019 20:47:38 GMT
Adjusted predictions for Endgame based on the first 7-days performance by comparing its behaviour to all other major late-MCU movies. I used a foreign/domestic ratio ranging for Infinity War's ratio (2.018) to the expected ratio based on Endgame's performance to date (2.114).
Domestic gross: 870 - 880 million (#2 of all-time) Foreign gross: 1.76 - 1.86 billion (#2 of all-time)
Total gross: 2.63 - 2.74 billion (#2 of all-time)
The prediction is still slightly below Avatar's 2.78 billion, but it's already a lot closer than the initial 2.3 - 2.4 billion estimate. I think it'll be very close and I give 50/50 odds for Endgame beating Avatar at this point. Beating Avatar seems more realistic at this point than beating TFA domestically. But we are in completely uncharted waters since front-loaded numbers as high as this are the first of its kind (Avatar gradually became more popular throughout its run). So who knows, maybe it'll blow predictions out of the water again and it makes 3+ billion.
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Post by scabab on May 3, 2019 23:36:06 GMT
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Post by scabab on May 4, 2019 15:33:45 GMT
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Post by darkpast on May 4, 2019 17:43:49 GMT
anyone think AEG can beat TFA domestic of 936m?
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Post by CowherPowerForever on May 4, 2019 19:39:41 GMT
anyone think AEG can beat TFA domestic of 936m? Well, it looks like it will fail to beat TFA second weekend record, then at some point in the next week or so Endgame will fall behind TFA. If it were to beat it it would need to really pick up its business. To add another 422 million(this includes the Friday estimates) would be absolutely out of this world. If I were a betting man I'd say hell no, bet against it beating TFA.
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Post by darkpast on May 4, 2019 20:04:36 GMT
anyone think AEG can beat TFA domestic of 936m? Well, it looks like it will fail to beat TFA second weekend record, then at some point in the next week or so Endgame will fall behind TFA. If it were to beat it it would need to really pick up its business. To add another 422 million(this includes the Friday estimates) would be absolutely out of this world. If I were a betting man I'd say hell no, bet against it beating TFA. It will make the 2nd weekend record, its heading for 150m+. Marvel films on Saturday get get 40-50% bump, TFA only jumped 15%, it may be close but should set the new record
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Post by scabab on May 4, 2019 20:14:48 GMT
anyone think AEG can beat TFA domestic of 936m? Probably not, it's losing ground to it each day. It opened $110 million ahead. As of Friday it's now $74 million ahead. This weekend Avengers might make about the same but it'll lose a lot of ground over Monday to Thursday. The Force Awakens made $112 million on its second Monday to Thursday. That's not really that far off Endgame making $116 million on its first Monday to Thursday. Going into next weekend this might only be $30-40 million ahead.
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Post by kevin on May 4, 2019 20:15:30 GMT
anyone think AEG can beat TFA domestic of 936m? Not impossible, but I think it's unlikely. It'll have to make at least 70 million more than most current estimates during its domestic run and it's already slowly starting to fall behind TFA's stats. I think 900+ domestic is very difficult, 880 - 890 is more likely. So in conclusion, it can be done but I don't see it happening. Beating Avatar's record seems more realistic than beating TFA's record.
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Post by CowherPowerForever on May 4, 2019 20:24:15 GMT
Well, it looks like it will fail to beat TFA second weekend record, then at some point in the next week or so Endgame will fall behind TFA. If it were to beat it it would need to really pick up its business. To add another 422 million(this includes the Friday estimates) would be absolutely out of this world. If I were a betting man I'd say hell no, bet against it beating TFA. It will make the 2nd weekend record, its heading for 150m+. Marvel films on Saturday get get 40-50% bump, TFA only jumped 15%, it may be close but should set the new record Deadline reported 137 to 175 million yesterday, yes that's an absurd prediction. Now their estimate is 148 million. It's not impossible I'll admit that, but even if it does beat it it will barely beat it, and won't really help it beat TFA total domestically.
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Post by CowherPowerForever on May 5, 2019 15:00:08 GMT
Box office pro has Endgame at 145 to 155 million for the weekend as of yesterday. Deadline still hasn't posted an update today.
Looks like it will be a tight finish for the second weekend record.
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Post by Agent of Chaos on May 5, 2019 15:33:00 GMT
Well it surpassed Endgame.
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Post by scabab on May 5, 2019 15:37:42 GMT
Now at $2.188 billion. Exactly $600 million away from Avatar.
A $145.8 million second weekend domestically is just a tad behind The Force Awakens but that could change with actuals.
A 59% drop, a bit more than Infinity War's 55% drop.
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Post by CowherPowerForever on May 5, 2019 15:43:52 GMT
Now at $2.188 billion. Exactly $600 million away from Avatar. A $145.8 million second weekend domestically is just a tad behind The Force Awakens but that could change with actuals. A 59% drop, a bit more than Infinity War's 55% drop. I think the actuals for Endgame opening weekend went up about 6 million, but I don't see that happen this weekend. So much confusion going on opening weekend that we shouldn't see this weekend. I'd bet it falls if anything.
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Post by poutinep on May 5, 2019 16:06:44 GMT
Wowee it's gotten to 2 billion fast. real chance at passing Avatar for total worldwide.
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Post by scabab on May 5, 2019 22:19:30 GMT
It passed Titanic for the #2 all-time in just 2 weeks. Let that sink in for a second. I'm serious. Let that sink in. Think about that for a second.
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