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Post by scabab on Dec 24, 2019 13:35:20 GMT
But if the weekend being too close to X-Mas is why TROS's opening is down do you figure this will carry over to the rest of the movies run or do you think it can make up those loses over time? As you mentioned Jumanji & Aquaman both of those ended up clearly making up for their stifled openings, so what do you think the chances are TROS can do the same? Well it'd be less likely than those because this is a much more fan driven movie that already did open huge in the first place but because of where it opened, it should have a better finishing multiplier than The Last Jedi so it should make over $500 million possibly. For this to have the same or lower 2.81x multiplier as The Last Jedi despite opening on this weekend would be pretty bad as that movie was already really front loaded. So if TROS just opened to 80% of TLJ then I would expect it to finish with over 80% of TLJ's total by the end yes unless people just didn't like it. Bumblebee opened on this same weekend last year too, only did $21 million but finished with $127 million. Passengers opened this time in 2016 to only $22 million for the 5 day but still finished with $100 million. Jack Reacher was another. This is just a quiet weekend. Had this opened last weekend it might have opened to $200 million.
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Post by darkpast on Dec 24, 2019 17:23:04 GMT
Holiday legs kicking in
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Post by scabab on Dec 24, 2019 18:40:47 GMT
The Last Jedi on its first Monday did $21 million.
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Post by thisguy4000 on Dec 24, 2019 18:49:50 GMT
The Last Jedi on its first Monday did $21 million. The comparison isn’t quite apples to apples, since the first Monday for TRoS was on the week of Christmas.
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Post by scabab on Dec 24, 2019 19:32:47 GMT
Yeah it should gain on it this week before falling behind soon.
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Post by scabab on Dec 25, 2019 15:17:16 GMT
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Post by darkpast on Dec 25, 2019 16:14:55 GMT
Looks to be headed 550m+ domestically , a little ahead of Rogue One. 600m probably the ceiling.
it had a sizable drop on Christmas Eve as expected, let's see how much it rebounds on Christmas Day, should do at least 30m+
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Post by scabab on Dec 25, 2019 21:06:51 GMT
"Disney’s Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker had a fantastic day grossing an estimated $20M, which makes it the second best Christmas Eve for a Star Wars pic behind Force Awakens ($27.4M), and ahead of Last Jedi ($17.6M) and Rogue One ($15.3M). Skywalker even had a fantastic hold when compared to its previous holiday released chapters, -32% yesterday from Monday, which is a better hold than Last Jedi‘s Christmas Eve (-40%), Rogue One (-33%) and just behind Force Awakens’ hold between Dec. 23 and 24 (-28%)."
Not only was the number good but the hold they say. Haven't seen an updated worldwide gross yet though.
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Post by darkpast on Dec 25, 2019 21:17:24 GMT
"Disney’s Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker had a fantastic day grossing an estimated $20M, which makes it the second best Christmas Eve for a Star Wars pic behind Force Awakens ($27.4M), and ahead of Last Jedi ($17.6M) and Rogue One ($15.3M). Skywalker even had a fantastic hold when compared to its previous holiday released chapters, -32% yesterday from Monday, which is a better hold than Last Jedi‘s Christmas Eve (-40%), Rogue One (-33%) and just behind Force Awakens’ hold between Dec. 23 and 24 (-28%)." Not only was the number good but the hold they say. Haven't seen an updated worldwide gross yet though. Many theaters outside the USA were closed worldwide increase would be small
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Post by thisguy4000 on Dec 25, 2019 21:44:05 GMT
If this movie has a decent multiplier in the long run, that might prevent it from being considered a total disaster.
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Post by scabab on Dec 26, 2019 12:38:26 GMT
"Industry estimates are showing Disney/Lucasfilm’s Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker scoring the second-best Christmas Day ever at the domestic B.O. with $35M, behind 2015’s holiday record, Force Awakens, which made $49.3M. Disney has been reporting their actual daily figures for Skywalker at $1M-$2M below what the industry has been estimating. Even if Skywalker comes in lighter than what we’re seeing tonight, it’s likely to beat the Christmas Day grosses of Last Jedi ($27.4M) and Rogue One ($25.8M). Today’s cash for Skywalker puts its 6-day total at $261.8M, which is -6% behind Last Jedi over the same period of time. That pic finaled with $620.1M domestic."
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Post by scabab on Dec 26, 2019 18:09:07 GMT
Disney/Lucasfilm’s Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker has zoomed past the $500M mark globally. North America’s current estimated $258.9M is about on par with the saga-ender’s $257.9M at the international box office. The worldwide gross through Wednesday is $516.8M.
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Post by scabab on Dec 27, 2019 16:51:11 GMT
"Another big day for Disney’s Star Wars: Rise of Skywalker with a Dec. 26 estimated gross of $30.7M, -4% from Christmas Day. Industry sources are forecasting that through the ninth-quel’s first ten days by Sunday, the J.J. Abrams directed movie will hit $380.9M, pacing 3% ahead of Last Jedi at the same point in time. Pretty impressive for a pic we dinged for having a slow start. Skywalker‘s Dec. 26 bests that of Last Jedi‘s ($27.7M) and is just under Rogue One‘s $32M, which was on the Monday after a Christmas Sunday."
So it looks like by the second weekend it's going to be roughly on par with The Last Jedi then which is pretty good for it. I imagine it'll start to fall behind again though either next week or the week after.
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Post by CrepedCrusader on Dec 27, 2019 17:00:38 GMT
Man, it's really crashing and burning. /sarcasm
Planning on seeing again today, and already every showtime is almost sold out. (To be fair, the auditoriums at my theater aren't very large, seating just under a hundred people.)
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Post by darkpast on Dec 27, 2019 17:17:37 GMT
"Another big day for Disney’s Star Wars: Rise of Skywalker with a Dec. 26 estimated gross of $30.7M, -4% from Christmas Day. Industry sources are forecasting that through the ninth-quel’s first ten days by Sunday, the J.J. Abrams directed movie will hit $380.9M, pacing 3% ahead of Last Jedi at the same point in time. Pretty impressive for a pic we dinged for having a slow start. Skywalker‘s Dec. 26 bests that of Last Jedi‘s ($27.7M) and is just under Rogue One‘s $32M, which was on the Monday after a Christmas Sunday." So it looks like by the second weekend it's going to be roughly on par with The Last Jedi then which is pretty good for it. I imagine it'll start to fall behind again though either next week or the week after. DL prediction is 89m, but current data has 75m-80m 2nd weekend
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Post by scabab on Dec 27, 2019 21:24:53 GMT
Disney/Lucasfilm’s Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker hit an upward offshore trajectory on Thursday versus Wednesday, adding $24.4M in 52 material markets for an international box office cume of $282.3M so far. December 26 was good for a 45% bump over Christmas Day and repped 15% of the initial weekend’s take. The global total is now $572M with $700M+ likely through Sunday.
The JJ Abrams-directed Episode IX yesterday also tightened its gap with Star Wars: The Last Jedi to -12% overseas (-7% when excluding China) across the first nine days.
Given the different holiday configurations, this FSS weekend for Skywalker could come in around $60M.
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Post by scabab on Dec 28, 2019 15:58:31 GMT
If business today can outstrip Friday’s figure of $26.2M (still a very good number) then Skywalker can possibly match or near Last Jedi by Sunday. Box office sources got excited yesterday about the weekend forecast when they spotted Skywalker‘s resurge over Christmas and Dec. 26. Skywalker‘s 3-day is still in the range that many were forecasting heading into the weekend ($70M-$80M) with $76M (-57%). That figure is ahead of Last Jedi‘s second weekend (not counting its Christmas Monday), which was $71.6M (-68%). 5-day is lower than what were seeing at $138.7M with total by Sunday at $365.7M, just $2.4M behind Last Jedi at the same point in time. Still, a final domestic gross well north of $600M is in store for Skywalker (Last Jedi ending its run at $620.1M).
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Post by merh on Dec 28, 2019 16:12:44 GMT
I tend to hit the first show of the day (cheaper tickets + less crowded) Last Sunday was maybe half-full at 8:30 AM.
Christmas day 10 AM IMAX theater was full as far as I could see.
So we will see. The haters really want this to crash & burn
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Post by scabab on Dec 29, 2019 17:36:38 GMT
Now at $704 million. Supposedly the industry thinks it'll domain with around what TLJ did domestically.
Edit: Make that $725 million, BOM was confused.
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Post by CrepedCrusader on Dec 29, 2019 17:48:07 GMT
Making that cheddar.
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