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Post by Carl LaFong on Mar 23, 2019 11:51:00 GMT
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Post by Carl LaFong on Mar 23, 2019 11:53:07 GMT
4/10
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Post by NJtoTX on Mar 23, 2019 12:18:31 GMT
Your score: 3 / 10
We don't know how you're going to come back from this
Some words are going to have to be had in the dressing room after that showing
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Post by Deleted on Mar 23, 2019 12:35:00 GMT
4/10
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Post by NJtoTX on Mar 23, 2019 12:40:49 GMT
Probability of #correct by guessing:
10 0.0%
9 0.0%
8 0.3%
7 1.6%
6 5.7%
5 13.7%
4 22.8%
3 26.0%
2 19.5%
1 8.7%
0 1.7%
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Post by Carl LaFong on Mar 23, 2019 12:44:09 GMT
Probability of #correct by guessing: 10 0.0% 9 0.0% 8 0.3% 7 1.6% 6 5.7% 5 13.7% 4 22.8% 3 26.0% 2 19.5% 1 8.7% 0 1.7% I'm surprised the probability of getting 3 or fewer correct is more than 50%. Are those figs definitely correct.
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Post by NJtoTX on Mar 23, 2019 12:56:27 GMT
I'm surprised the probability of getting 3 or fewer correct is more than 50%. Are those figs definitely correct. Yep. 10/3 is 3.33, the mean of the distribution, so the probability of getting 4 or more correct will not be more than 50%.
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Post by Carl LaFong on Mar 23, 2019 12:59:47 GMT
I'm surprised the probability of getting 3 or fewer correct is more than 50%. Are those figs definitely correct. Yep. 10/3 is 3.33, the mean of the distribution, so the probability of being 4 or more will not be more than 50%. Ah, cool. Binomial distribution I take it.
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Post by NJtoTX on Mar 23, 2019 13:03:49 GMT
Yep. 10/3 is 3.33, the mean of the distribution, so the probability of being 4 or more will not be more than 50%. Ah, cool. Binomial distribution I take it. Yep. Looks like a probability of 0.3551 is the balance point, where you have a 50% chance of 3 or fewer and a 50% chance of 4 or more. Though you can't have 1/3.551 = 2.816 answer choices.
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Post by FrankSobotka1514 on Mar 23, 2019 14:04:31 GMT
5/10, pure guesses.
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Post by bluerisk on Mar 23, 2019 17:50:30 GMT
 I give me 1/10 and be done with it. Edit: After this nice table with the probabilities... Your score: 6 / 10 A solid mid-table finish L o L
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