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Post by ArArArchStanton on Sept 3, 2017 16:13:31 GMT
Homecoming is now up to $746 mil after a bump during the US holiday weekend and still has more yet to come from Japan.
That means it needs less than $50 mil from China when it finally opens there, and just to remind everybody, every major superhero film this year has broken $100 million there, and that includes Guardians, Logan, WW, and Doctor Strange.
Now Homecoming is opening very very late there and that will almost certainly take a chunk out of the box office, but $50 seems well within range. Definitely impressive. |
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Post by Deleted on Sept 3, 2017 17:08:41 GMT
Homecoming is now up to $746 mil after a bump during the US holiday weekend and still has more yet to come from Japan.
That means it needs less than $50 mil from China when it finally opens there, and just to remind everybody, every major superhero film this year has broken $100 million there, and that includes Guardians, Logan, WW, and Doctor Strange.
Now Homecoming is opening very very late there and that will almost certainly take a chunk out of the box office, but $50 seems well within range. Definitely impressive. Seems that SMH will be outgrossing WW and maybe even GotGvol2 worldwide |
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Post by scabab on Sept 3, 2017 17:12:03 GMT
It's still doing very well. With Mondays gross it will be tied with Suicide Squad domestically. It's got a real good shot at passing Batman vs Superman as well.
Pre-sales for China are looking good, from what I'm reading it can go as low as $90 million and as high as $120 million.
Perhaps it's looking at making between $840-880 million.
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Post by scabab on Sept 3, 2017 17:15:00 GMT
Actually looking at even more recent sales and what people have to say they're thinking it can open to $50-60 million opening weekend in China and $120-150 million total.
So even $900 million and being the highest grossing Spider-man movie is still a possibility.
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Post by ArArArchStanton on Sept 3, 2017 19:06:10 GMT
It's still doing very well. With Mondays gross it will be tied with Suicide Squad domestically. It's got a real good shot at passing Batman vs Superman as well. Pre-sales for China are looking good, from what I'm reading it can go as low as $90 million and as high as $120 million. Perhaps it's looking at making between $840-880 million. Where are you getting your presale info. I'd love to see that. |
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Post by scabab on Sept 3, 2017 20:54:12 GMT
It's still doing very well. With Mondays gross it will be tied with Suicide Squad domestically. It's got a real good shot at passing Batman vs Superman as well. Pre-sales for China are looking good, from what I'm reading it can go as low as $90 million and as high as $120 million. Perhaps it's looking at making between $840-880 million. Where are you getting your presale info. I'd love to see that. Look around this site. forums.boxofficetheory.com/forum/73-china-at-the-box-office/So far Spider-man Homecoming has made $7.65 million for opening day pre sales with 4 days to go so that number will obviously rise as it gets closer. They're starting to think $140-150 million there is a possibility which would put it above $900 million. That's probably the absolute high end though. |
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Post by ArArArchStanton on Sept 3, 2017 20:58:30 GMT
Where are you getting your presale info. I'd love to see that. Look around this site. forums.boxofficetheory.com/forum/73-china-at-the-box-office/So far Spider-man Homecoming has made $7.65 million for opening day pre sales with 4 days to go so that number will obviously rise as it gets closer. They're starting to think $140-150 million there is a possibility which would put it above $900 million. That's probably the absolute high end though. Thanks, but what am I supposed to be looking at on that page? It seems incredibly disorganized. |
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Post by scabab on Sept 3, 2017 21:04:07 GMT
Look around this site. forums.boxofficetheory.com/forum/73-china-at-the-box-office/So far Spider-man Homecoming has made $7.65 million for opening day pre sales with 4 days to go so that number will obviously rise as it gets closer. They're starting to think $140-150 million there is a possibility which would put it above $900 million. That's probably the absolute high end though. Thanks, but what am I supposed to be looking at on that page? It seems incredibly disorganized. Well this is the thread with the most recent comments |
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barkingbaphomet
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Post by barkingbaphomet on Sept 3, 2017 21:19:43 GMT
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Post by ArArArchStanton on Sept 3, 2017 21:35:39 GMT
Thanks, but what am I supposed to be looking at on that page? It seems incredibly disorganized. Well this is the thread with the most recent comments Good stuff, and I'll check that 2nd site for sure. I'm not sure about all the speculation on the page. It sounds like the presale numbers are legit, but everybody discussing how it will perform after I'm less confident about. I'm not at all sure about the idea of 120-150 for instance, but I feel like somewhere in the 70-100 range is very reasonable. If it does better then great! |
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Post by scabab on Sept 4, 2017 0:24:30 GMT
Well this is the thread with the most recent comments Good stuff, and I'll check that 2nd site for sure. I'm not sure about all the speculation on the page. It sounds like the presale numbers are legit, but everybody discussing how it will perform after I'm less confident about. I'm not at all sure about the idea of 120-150 for instance, but I feel like somewhere in the 70-100 range is very reasonable. If it does better then great! It's all just prediction for now but those people have been following these pre-sales trends for years and report on them and find all these links to things you wouldn't find on your own. They could be wrong but generally they know what they're on about. Going by the pre-sales that they know of they're probably looking at how other movies performed in comparison and then going from there. |
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Post by ArArArchStanton on Sept 4, 2017 3:05:23 GMT
Good stuff, and I'll check that 2nd site for sure. I'm not sure about all the speculation on the page. It sounds like the presale numbers are legit, but everybody discussing how it will perform after I'm less confident about. I'm not at all sure about the idea of 120-150 for instance, but I feel like somewhere in the 70-100 range is very reasonable. If it does better then great! It's all just prediction for now but those people have been following these pre-sales trends for years and report on them and find all these links to things you wouldn't find on your own. They could be wrong but generally they know what they're on about. Going by the pre-sales that they know of they're probably looking at how other movies performed in comparison and then going from there. It'll definitely be cool to follow. I just haven't seen their stuff before, but hell if they're right, I'll pay attention to them more, and I hope they are. |
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Post by Deleted on Sept 4, 2017 15:05:51 GMT
They should have held back SM:H DVD release back further. It's release is set for October 17 but it will be barely out of the top 10 box office list by then.
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Post by ArArArchStanton on Sept 5, 2017 15:04:25 GMT
They should have held back SM:H DVD release back further. It's release is set for October 17 but it will be barely out of the top 10 box office list by then. That I did not know. That is an early date, but I can't wait to add it to the shelf, so bring it on. |
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Peter B. Parker
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Post by Peter B. Parker on Sept 5, 2017 19:18:58 GMT
Opens in China on Friday. Then War for the Planet of the Apes next Friday
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Post by scabab on Sept 5, 2017 20:10:52 GMT
Now it's up to $13.5 million in opening day pre-sales with two more days to go.
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Post by ArArArchStanton on Sept 5, 2017 21:06:49 GMT
Now it's up to $13.5 million in opening day pre-sales with two more days to go. Very interesting.
What's the low end opening day total if the presales are 13.5? Is that usually a double the number type of thing?
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Post by scabab on Sept 5, 2017 23:23:47 GMT
Now it's up to $13.5 million in opening day pre-sales with two more days to go. Very interesting.
What's the low end opening day total if the presales are 13.5? Is that usually a double the number type of thing?
I'm not sure but the people over there seem to think it could have an opening weekend of about $60-70 million based on how it's currently going. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 had an opening weekend of $48 million and finished with $100 million. |
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Post by ArArArchStanton on Sept 5, 2017 23:41:41 GMT
Very interesting.
What's the low end opening day total if the presales are 13.5? Is that usually a double the number type of thing?
I'm not sure but the people over there seem to think it could have an opening weekend of about $60-70 million based on how it's currently going. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 had an opening weekend of $48 million and finished with $100 million. Holy fuck. Even if it's frontloaded as hell it's still on for more than $100 if that turns out to be the case. |
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Post by darkpast on Sept 7, 2017 5:32:03 GMT
guessing about 150m in China with 200m the ceiling
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