Avengers Infinity War: Box Office Thread - $2.030 billion

Setting all time records in many countries around the world, really something to behold

I'm going to try to predict the box office for Infinity War as I did for Black Panther. These were my results for black panther:
Prediction based on first 2 days: 607 domestic / 528 foreign / 1135 total
Prediction based on first 18 days: 676 domestic / 539 forein / 1215 total 
Prediction based on first 23 days: 698 domestic / 642 foreign / 1340 total
Actual results: 688 domestic / 643 foreign / 1331 total

So last time the prediction after 23 days was within 1% of the actual box office gross and the first 2 days value was already within 15%.
I think most of the uncertainty early on was because I didn't take into account that the movie didn't premiere yet in some countries like China.
I haven't had time to adjust this yet, so I expect this first prediction of IW to also be a bit on the lower side.

Based on a few other movies that are similar (I don't have enough time today to look at many movies so expect this to be a bit less accurate) I get a multiplier of 3.2 which would give a domestic gross of 827 million and a foreign gross of 830 million to get a total of 1.657 billion. I especially expect the foreign gross to be higher so expect this number to be at least 100 or 200 million higher due to China and other countries, giving a total of 1.8+ billion. Worst case scenario, the movie experiences divisiveness like TLJ (which doesn't seem to be the case) we still get a gross of 1.451 billion which is probably at least 1.5, maybe 1.6 billion due to China. So 1.5 billion is a lock and 1.7 billion seems fairly certain. Even 1.8 billion seems to be almost certain. In case it has legs like TFA (which tbh I don't think it will have) we're looking at a total of 1.946 billion which could get it to 2.1+ billion with China included. So the only possibility for IW to beat TFA is if its legs are similar. However, I think it legs will be closer to the 3.2 multiplier (like Black Panther) so I think a fair estimation at this point is at least 1.7 billion with 1.9 billion being a real possibility, which is very impressive and would be the 4th highest grossing movie of all-time. This prediction is only based on the similar performance of about 6 other blockbusters. When I have a lot of time, I want to make a database with many movies to make it possible to predict these kind of things a lot more accurately, but atm I'm kinda busy.

Interesting that Cameron never returned the favor when Star Wars took back the domestic crown.

Congratulations to the Russo Brothers, Kevin Feige and the entire cast of Avengers: Infinity War!

I wonder if Kathleen Kennedy is pissed at this?

Wonder what its second weekend will look like. It can have a 60% drop and it will still have a $100 million second weekend. 

Which all time record? I thought TFA was supposed to be in front after today since it's Monday was a bank holiday?

Fastest to 1 billion, Avengers is a monster overseas